DC United vs New York RB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
DAL
1 - 3
DCU
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
COC
3 - 0
DCU
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
DCU
1 - 1
NER
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
DCU
3 - 0
COC
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2003 |
COR
0 - 0
DCU
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
RBN
4 - 4
SJE
44%
25%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
CFS
2 - 1
RBN
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
RBN
1 - 0
GAL
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
RBN
2 - 3
CFS
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
KCW
2 - 1
RBN
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |