MLS Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
DC United vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
DCU
1 - 3
RBN
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1997 |
TAM
1 - 5
DCU
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
DCU
1 - 2
TAM
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
DCU
2 - 2
NER
73%
17%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
TAM
1 - 2
DCU
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1997 |
DAL
1 - 2
NER
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
NER
3 - 2
RBN
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
DCU
2 - 2
NER
73%
17%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1997 |
NER
1 - 0
COC
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1997 |
RBN
3 - 1
NER
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |