DC United vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ORL
4 - 2
DCU
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DCU
3 - 1
NYC
53%
22%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 2
DCU
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
DCU
3 - 0
COC
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DCU
4 - 1
ORL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NER
3 - 0
MON
46%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
TOR
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ORL
0 - 1
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
SJE
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RBN
1 - 0
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |