DC United vs Mazatlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
DCU
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 3
DCU
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
DCU
0 - 4
CEL
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 3
DCU
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
DCU
2 - 1
NSC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mazatlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
NSC
0 - 2
MAZ
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NER
1 - 0
MAZ
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
MAZ
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
MAZ
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MAZ
2 - 2
AUR
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |