DC United vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
DCU
0 - 2
HOD
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2008 |
DCU
2 - 1
CFS
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2008 |
DCU
2 - 0
ROC
84%
11%
5%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
DCU
4 - 1
GAL
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
DCU
3 - 1
SJE
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2008 |
KCW
0 - 0
CFS
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2008 |
COC
3 - 3
KCW
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2008 |
KCW
2 - 1
RBN
49%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2008 |
SES
0 - 0
KCW
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
DAL
1 - 1
KCW
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |