DC United vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1996 |
DCU
2 - 0
COC
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1996 |
NER
2 - 0
DCU
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1996 |
DCU
1 - 0
TAM
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1996 |
DCU
6 - 1
DAL
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1996 |
DAL
1 - 1
DCU
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1996 |
KCW
4 - 2
NER
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1996 |
KCW
1 - 2
DAL
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1996 |
TAM
3 - 2
KCW
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1996 |
KCW
2 - 0
COR
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 1996 |
KCW
3 - 1
GAL
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |