DC United vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
COC
3 - 0
DCU
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DCU
2 - 3
PHU
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
DCU
0 - 2
RBN
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
KCW
1 - 0
DCU
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DCU
1 - 2
COC
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2013 |
GAL
0 - 1
HOD
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
HOD
1 - 1
COR
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
HOD
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HOD
2 - 1
CFS
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
HOD
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |