DC United vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
DCU
2 - 0
CHI
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
DCU
2 - 2
RBN
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
DCU
0 - 4
CFS
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
CFS
0 - 0
DCU
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
DCU
2 - 2
COC
64%
20%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
HOD
1 - 2
KCW
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
HOD
5 - 2
COR
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |