DC United vs Penn FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
COC
1 - 1
DCU
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
OCE
0 - 2
DCU
13%
20%
67%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
COR
3 - 0
DCU
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
SES
3 - 3
DCU
35%
27%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
DCU
2 - 1
CFS
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
PNN
2 - 1
NER
20%
22%
58%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2009 |
WES
0 - 0
PNN
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
REA
1 - 4
PNN
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2008 |
PNN
2 - 2
CPB
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2008 |
PNN
5 - 1
YAK
73%
17%
11%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |