Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 2-2
DC United vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CFS
1 - 1
DCU
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
DCU
2 - 1
RSL
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
DCU
4 - 2
NER
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 2
DCU
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
DAL
0 - 4
DCU
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAZ
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SNL
0 - 0
CHI
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
TIG
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |