DC United vs FC Dallas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
COC
1 - 1
DCU
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
DCU
1 - 0
RBN
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
DCU
2 - 0
NER
37%
26%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DCU
2 - 2
CFS
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
DCU
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Dallas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 1
TOR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 3
SES
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
HOD
1 - 4
DAL
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
DAL
3 - 1
CHI
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |