DC United vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DCU
1 - 2
HOD
43%
26%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
KCW
1 - 0
DCU
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DCU
1 - 1
PHU
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DCU
0 - 3
CFS
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
RSL
0 - 1
DCU
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
COC
0 - 1
NER
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
NER
3 - 2
COC
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COC
0 - 1
KCW
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
DAL
2 - 4
COC
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
COC
3 - 0
CFS
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |