DC United vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
KCW
1 - 3
DCU
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
COC
1 - 1
DCU
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
DCU
2 - 1
KCW
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
COR
2 - 1
DCU
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
DCU
1 - 1
DAL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
COC
1 - 1
DCU
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
COC
1 - 0
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
RSL
0 - 1
COC
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
COC
0 - 1
KCW
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
GAL
0 - 1
COC
54%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |