DC United vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
DCU
1 - 2
RBN
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
RSL
1 - 3
DCU
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
RBN
1 - 4
DCU
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
UCO
3 - 2
DCU
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DCU
2 - 0
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CFS
1 - 2
COC
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
DAL
2 - 1
COC
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
COC
0 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
RSL
1 - 2
COC
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
COC
1 - 1
NER
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |