DC United vs Colorado Rapids analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1996 |
DCU
3 - 2
NER
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
TAM
2 - 0
DCU
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
DCU
1 - 2
RBN
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1996 |
COR
1 - 2
DCU
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
DCU
3 - 0
TAM
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Colorado Rapids
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
COR
1 - 3
SJE
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1996 |
GAL
0 - 0
COR
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1996 |
COR
1 - 2
DCU
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
SJE
1 - 0
COR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1996 |
NER
2 - 0
COR
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |