DC United vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
RBN
3 - 2
DCU
54%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
GAL
1 - 1
DCU
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
DCU
2 - 1
SJE
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CFS
2 - 0
DCU
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
DCU
0 - 2
CFS
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
CFS
2 - 1
SAP
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CFS
0 - 2
DAL
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
SAP
2 - 0
CFS
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SJE
0 - 0
CFS
45%
24%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
KCW
0 - 0
CFS
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |