DC United vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
DAL
3 - 0
DCU
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
DCU
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GAL
5 - 2
DCU
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
DCU
0 - 2
SAP
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
DCU
2 - 2
DAL
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
AME
2 - 0
CAZ
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
CAZ
4 - 0
SAP
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 1
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAZ
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |