DC United vs Chivas USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
DCU
0 - 1
CAZ
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
DAL
3 - 0
DCU
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
DCU
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GAL
5 - 2
DCU
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
DCU
0 - 2
SAP
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 1
KCW
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
RSL
0 - 1
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
NER
4 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
TOR
1 - 3
CHI
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 1
TOR
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |