DC United vs Chivas USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2007 |
DCU
1 - 1
NER
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
COC
1 - 0
DCU
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
DCU
2 - 4
KCW
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
COR
2 - 1
DCU
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 1
DCU
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
GAL
3 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CHI
4 - 0
RSL
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
HOD
1 - 0
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOR
42%
28%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2006 |
HOD
2 - 0
CHI
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |