DC United vs LA Galaxy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
DCU
1 - 0
WIL
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2003 |
SJE
1 - 0
DCU
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
CFS
3 - 1
DCU
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
DCU
1 - 0
COR
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
DCU
1 - 0
NER
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
LA Galaxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
GAL
2 - 1
DAL
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
GAL
5 - 1
SES
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
GAL
2 - 1
NER
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
CFS
1 - 0
GAL
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GAL
1 - 1
RBN
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |