CONCACAF Champions Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-6
DC United vs LD Alajuelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
LDA
5 - 2
DCU
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DCU
2 - 1
RBN
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RBN
2 - 0
DCU
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
DCU
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 1
DCU
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
LD Alajuelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
LDA
5 - 2
DCU
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LDA
0 - 2
SAP
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
LDA
1 - 2
LFC
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
LDA
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
LDA
6 - 2
CSC
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |