Dayton Dutch Lions vs Wilmington Hammerheads analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
47.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
ORL
7 - 0
DAY
79%
14%
6%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DAY
1 - 2
COL
47%
24%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
RIC
1 - 1
DAY
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 2
DAY
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 2
DAY
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
ORL
23%
26%
51%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
0 - 0
SAC
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 1
ORL
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 3
WIL
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ORA
1 - 2
WIL
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |