Dayton Dutch Lions vs Wilmington Hammerheads analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 3
DAY
48%
27%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
DAY
3 - 1
ANT
79%
14%
8%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
PNN
5 - 1
DAY
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
DAY
61%
24%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
DAY
51%
28%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
CHA
37%
28%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 2
VSI
59%
22%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
PIT
2 - 1
WIL
37%
25%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 0
WIL
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 2
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |