Dayton Dutch Lions vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
DAY
2 - 2
CHA
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
ORA
0 - 1
DAY
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ARI
0 - 0
DAY
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
DAY
2 - 1
VSI
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
DAY
0 - 0
ORA
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 0
ARI
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 1
ANT
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 1
CHA
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ROC
3 - 0
VSI
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PIT
3 - 0
ROC
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |