Dayton Dutch Lions vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
49.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PIT
2 - 0
DAY
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
DAY
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DAY
1 - 2
WIL
28%
26%
47%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
DAY
0 - 5
NYO
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RIC
3 - 0
DAY
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
ORA
0 - 2
ROC
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ORA
0 - 1
ROC
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 2
PNN
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
4 - 0
PIT
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 0
PIT
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |