Dayton Dutch Lions vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
DAY
1 - 1
RIC
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DAY
0 - 1
ROC
23%
27%
50%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PIT
2 - 0
DAY
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
DAY
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DAY
1 - 2
WIL
28%
26%
47%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
PIT
0 - 3
ORA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ORA
2 - 2
WIL
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ORA
2 - 2
WIL
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
ORA
0 - 2
ROC
31%
29%
40%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ORA
0 - 1
ROC
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |