Dayton Dutch Lions vs Penn FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
PNN
0 - 0
DAY
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 0
DAY
64%
23%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
DAY
1 - 0
PIT
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
DAY
2 - 2
ORL
19%
26%
56%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
KCW
3 - 0
DAY
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
PNN
0 - 0
DAY
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
PNN
1 - 1
ANT
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
PIT
2 - 3
PNN
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 2
PNN
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
PHU
5 - 2
PNN
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |