Dayton Dutch Lions vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
DAY
0 - 1
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ORL
4 - 0
DAY
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VSI
0 - 1
DAY
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DAY
2 - 1
PIT
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
DAY
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2013 |
PIT
2 - 1
ARI
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARI
1 - 1
PIT
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
ARI
3 - 1
WIL
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
ARI
1 - 3
ORA
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
ARI
1 - 3
ORL
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |