Aguilas vs Philippine Air Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
13%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
KAY
1 - 0
DAF
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
DAF
8 - 0
MMF
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
TLY
1 - 3
DAF
12%
17%
71%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
CER
0 - 0
DAF
60%
19%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DHC
1 - 0
DAF
53%
20%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Philippine Air Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PHI
2 - 0
PHI
65%
17%
17%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MMC
0 - 8
PHI
10%
14%
76%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PHI
1 - 2
MDG
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GRU
1 - 0
PHI
11%
14%
75%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
STA
8 - 0
PHI
76%
14%
11%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |