Aguilas vs Loyola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
DAF
5 - 0
GRU
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DAF
1 - 1
TFC
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DAF
1 - 0
STA
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PHI
0 - 5
DAF
18%
19%
62%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DAF
6 - 0
MMC
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 5 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Loyola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
LOY
5 - 1
PHI
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PHI
3 - 4
LOY
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LOY
8 - 0
MMC
88%
9%
4%
|
24 | 5 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MDG
3 - 1
LOY
12%
16%
73%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOY
5 - 1
GRU
86%
9%
4%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | +1 |