Aguilas vs Kaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+106%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
DAF
1 - 1
VOL
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
VOL
6 - 3
DAF
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
KAY
1 - 3
DAF
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
DAF
0 - 2
STA
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
CER
5 - 1
DAF
64%
18%
19%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Kaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
KAY
1 - 3
DAF
60%
19%
21%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LOY
1 - 0
KAY
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
DAF
0 - 2
KAY
46%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
KAY
2 - 0
GLO
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CER
3 - 2
KAY
60%
19%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |