Dassendorf vs Hamburger SV III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
13º
2º
31
10º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dassendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 3
DAS
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NIE
1 - 1
DAS
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DAS
6 - 0
PAL
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SAS
2 - 1
DAS
35%
23%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DAS
7 - 1
WIL
86%
10%
5%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 2
HEB
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 1
BUC
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UTO
2 - 1
HAM
40%
21%
40%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
NIE
5 - 2
HAM
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 2
PAL
29%
22%
49%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |