Darya Caspian vs Fajr Sepasi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darya Caspian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
KHO
1 - 0
DBF
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DBF
1 - 1
SMK
38%
31%
31%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DAM
1 - 1
DBF
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
DBF
1 - 2
NAF
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 0
DBF
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FAJ
2 - 1
AST
48%
29%
24%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
NAS
2 - 1
FAJ
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
FAJ
0 - 1
PER
15%
27%
58%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 1
FAJ
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
FAJ
0 - 1
ZOB
21%
29%
51%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |