Darwen FC vs Burton Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darwen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1895 |
WAL
5 - 1
DAR
23%
21%
57%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1895 |
ROT
4 - 1
DAR
23%
21%
57%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1895 |
DAR
4 - 0
MAC
64%
19%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1895 |
GRI
2 - 1
DAR
36%
22%
41%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1895 |
BUR
2 - 2
DAR
31%
24%
46%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Burton Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1895 |
MAC
4 - 1
BUR
63%
19%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1895 |
BUR
0 - 1
BCF
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1895 |
BUR
2 - 0
ROT
70%
17%
13%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1895 |
WAL
4 - 1
BUR
27%
22%
51%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1895 |
BUR
3 - 0
DAR
30%
22%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |