Dartford vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
STA
1 - 4
DAR
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HAM
1 - 3
DAR
27%
25%
49%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DAR
4 - 2
BOS
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HAV
1 - 4
DAR
29%
25%
47%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 0
WEL
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
THU
0 - 0
HAV
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 1
THU
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
THU
1 - 1
SAL
18%
23%
60%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +3 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
DOR
3 - 0
THU
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
THU
0 - 2
CHM
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |