Dartford vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DAR
2 - 1
STA
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
BAT
1 - 2
DAR
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CHM
1 - 0
DAR
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BUR
0 - 1
DAR
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DAR
3 - 1
BOG
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 0
WYC
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
POR
0 - 3
SWI
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 0
WYC
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 1
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 3
SWI
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |