Dartford vs Burgess Hill Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
DAR
1 - 1
ALD
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DAR
1 - 1
MAC
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 0
DAR
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DAR
1 - 1
GRI
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
WEL
2 - 2
DAR
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Burgess Hill Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 0
AVE
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
SIT
0 - 4
BUR
21%
24%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SUT
1 - 3
BUR
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GUE
0 - 2
BUR
33%
23%
44%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 0
MER
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |