Darmstadt 98 vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FRE
1 - 1
DAR
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
186
4 - 0
DAR
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 3
WEI
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
WEH
1 - 0
DAR
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
DAR
1 - 2
SVS
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ULM
2 - 1
186
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
WEI
2 - 0
ULM
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
ULM
4 - 0
WEH
75%
16%
10%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SVS
0 - 0
ULM
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
ULM
1 - 1
NUR
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |