Darmstadt 98 vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
AAA
2 - 2
DAR
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
DAR
0 - 2
S04
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
WAT
1 - 1
DAR
41%
25%
33%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
BRE
5 - 0
DAR
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
DAR
2 - 1
HES
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
S04
3 - 0
ULM
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
ULM
2 - 2
HES
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
SAA
2 - 0
ULM
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
RWL
3 - 2
ULM
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
ULM
3 - 2
ROT
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |