Darmstadt 98 vs Paderborn analysis

Darmstadt 98 Paderborn
79 ELO 73
-3.2% Tilt 22.7%
443º General ELO ranking 363º
26º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
46%
Darmstadt 98
25.2%
Draw
28.8%
Paderborn

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
Darmstadt 98
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.8%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Darmstadt 98
-12%
+7%
Paderborn

Points and table prediction

Darmstadt 98
Their league position
Paderborn
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
17º
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Darmstadt 98
67
67
100%
Hamburger SV
66
66
100%
Heidenheim
65
65
100%
FC St Pauli
58
58
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
58
58
100%
Paderborn
55
55
100%
Karlsruher SC
46
46
0%
Holstein Kiel
46
46
0%
Kaiserslautern
45
45
100%
Hannover 96
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Magdeburg
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Greuther Fürth
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Hansa Rostock
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Nürnberg
14º
39
39
14º
100%
Eintracht Braunschweig
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Arminia Bielefeld
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Jahn Regensburg
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Sandhausen
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Darmstadt 98
Paderborn
Champion
100% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Darmstadt 98
Paderborn
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Darmstadt 98
Darmstadt 98
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2023
FCN
Nürnberg
0 - 1
Darmstadt 98
DAR
20%
22%
58%
78 67 11 0
23 Mar. 2023
DAR
Darmstadt 98
1 - 1
Sandhausen
SVS
70%
19%
12%
79 61 18 -1
18 Mar. 2023
DAR
Darmstadt 98
2 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
51%
25%
24%
78 71 7 +1
11 Mar. 2023
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
3 - 1
Darmstadt 98
DAR
19%
23%
59%
79 70 9 -1
04 Mar. 2023
HEI
Heidenheim
1 - 0
Darmstadt 98
DAR
31%
24%
46%
79 75 4 0

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2023
PAD
Paderborn
3 - 2
Greuther Fürth
SGF
55%
23%
22%
73 69 4 0
18 Mar. 2023
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
1 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
20%
24%
57%
74 61 13 -1
11 Mar. 2023
MAG
Magdeburg
0 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
27%
25%
47%
74 69 5 0
03 Mar. 2023
PAD
Paderborn
1 - 2
FC St Pauli
STP
42%
24%
34%
75 73 2 -1
25 Feb. 2023
HOL
Holstein Kiel
1 - 1
Paderborn
PAD
34%
25%
40%
74 72 2 +1
X