Darmstadt 98 vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
HSV
6 - 1
DAR
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
DAR
1 - 4
EIN
40%
25%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
KOL
1 - 1
DAR
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
DAR
2 - 1
FCN
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
BVB
4 - 0
DAR
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
MSV
2 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
BYM
4 - 0
MSV
87%
9%
4%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
MSV
1 - 3
ARB
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
MON
4 - 2
MSV
74%
16%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
MSV
1 - 2
STU
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |