Darmstadt 98 vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1981 |
SAA
0 - 1
DAR
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
DAR
2 - 1
SGF
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1981 |
BAY
2 - 1
DAR
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
DAR
1 - 1
ULM
73%
16%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1981 |
FRE
2 - 0
DAR
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1981 |
HOM
5 - 1
FSV
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
WWO
0 - 0
HOM
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1981 |
HOM
2 - 1
WAL
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
HOM
2 - 2
SAA
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1981 |
SGF
1 - 1
HOM
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |