Darmstadt 98 vs Bad Vilbel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
BAU
0 - 1
DAR
18%
23%
60%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
DAR
3 - 1
FUL
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
BRA
0 - 2
DAR
12%
20%
68%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
DAR
4 - 0
ERZ
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
HUN
0 - 3
DAR
13%
20%
68%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Bad Vilbel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
FVB
3 - 0
SVB
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
FSV
3 - 0
FVB
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FVB
3 - 5
WOR
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 2
FVB
35%
27%
38%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VIK
2 - 3
FVB
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |