Darmstadt 98 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
13º
17º
13º
13
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 67 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 61 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 27% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DAR
2 - 0
COV
44%
25%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 2
SAA
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DAR
5 - 1
SWI
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
FSV
1 - 0
DAR
9%
15%
77%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 8
DAR
2%
7%
91%
|
79 | 7 | 72 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 2
F95
43%
23%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
F95
0 - 1
KAI
60%
21%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OFC
1 - 0
F95
9%
15%
76%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
F95
5 - 2
GAL
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
F95
4 - 0
DIO
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |