Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
AAA
1 - 0
DAR
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
DAR
1 - 0
SCF
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
SCC
0 - 3
DAR
29%
24%
47%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
EBT
0 - 0
DAR
52%
23%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
DAR
1 - 1
WAT
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
ARB
1 - 1
VIK
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ARB
1 - 1
STP
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
TSV
1 - 5
ARB
9%
20%
70%
|
74 | 8 | 66 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
AAA
2 - 0
ARB
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
ARB
0 - 0
SCF
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |