Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
EIN
2 - 0
DAR
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
DAR
1 - 2
S04
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
MSV
4 - 4
DAR
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
DAR
3 - 2
BVB
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
HSV
2 - 1
DAR
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
ARB
1 - 0
KOL
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
HER
1 - 2
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
ARB
1 - 1
STU
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1978 |
RTV
1 - 0
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
ARB
1 - 3
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |