Darmstadt 98 II vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
69.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2204%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
15º
6º
41
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 68 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 59 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 55 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 50 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 47 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 45 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 43 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 40 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
17º
|
37% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52% | |
|
19º
|
12 | 23 |
19º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 72.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darmstadt 98 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RWW
3 - 0
DAR
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 2
SUF
16%
16%
67%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 3
DAR
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
3 - 0
WOL
12%
16%
71%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | +5 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EDD
2 - 1
DAR
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
TUR
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
FER
1 - 2
WAL
63%
18%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 7
FER
22%
19%
59%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FER
2 - 2
STE
75%
15%
11%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SVA
0 - 3
FER
37%
22%
41%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +2 |