Darlington FC vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
51.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
KID
3 - 1
DAR
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 2
EBB
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
DAR
1 - 1
LUT
23%
28%
49%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 1
STO
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
5 - 2
DAR
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WRE
1 - 2
FOR
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
EBB
0 - 5
WRE
29%
29%
42%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
WRE
2 - 0
LUT
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KET
0 - 1
WRE
22%
27%
50%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |