Darlington FC vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BLY
0 - 1
DAR
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 1
DAR
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DAR
1 - 2
SPE
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 0
DAR
35%
22%
44%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
DAR
3 - 0
KID
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
5 - 3
CHO
29%
25%
47%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 4
AFC
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 0
SOU
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
5 - 1
LEA
62%
21%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 0
GUI
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |