Darlington FC vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 0
NUN
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 2
DAR
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 2
DAR
43%
24%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 2
BOS
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 0
DAR
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 1
BRA
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
BLY
2 - 0
SOU
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 1
SAL
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
TOW
2 - 0
SOU
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 1
NUN
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |